Care Roundtable Predictions Standings Update
I mentioned the other day that I had reorganized the categories, so that instead of seeing them by event type you can now read person by person. I hope this makes it easier to follow. I also mentioned arriving at a point system to figure out a fair way to determine a winner...but I think unless asked to share it, I'll keep it to myself.
Anyway, behind the cut is the updated CARE Stats for the predictions. This goes all the way through WEC and One Night Stand on Sunday. Included will be my own comments.
Casey Trowbridge: 9 contest wins in 24 events
EXC: 2 E, 13 W, 7 L, 65%
Pride: 2 E, 6 W, 10 L,, 1 NC 37.5%
UFC: 7 E, 37 W, 26 L, 58.7%
WEC: 1 Event, 6 W, 3 L, 66.7%
MMA: 12 E, 62 W, 46 L,, 1 NC 56.9%
TNA: 5 E, 25 W, 19 L, 56.8%
WWE: 7 E, 31 W, 19 L, 62.0%
Wrestling: 12 E, 56 W, 38 L, 59.6%
Overall: 24 E, 118 W, 84 L,, 1 NC 58.1%
Contests Won/Tied: New Year’s Revolution, No Way Out, Pride 33, Destination X, UFC 69, Sacrifice, UFC 71, One Night Stand and WEC 28 on Versus.
If you take out Pride which was a disaster for me and if you also discount the WEC and eXC standings due to the number of shows (2 isn't a rpresentative sample) and look at the 3 major one's left...it is kind of ironic that I do the best in WWE considering I watch it the least.
Art Shimko: 4 contest wins in 21 events
EXC: 2 E, 15 W, 5 L, 75.0%
Pride: 0 E, 0 W, 0 L, 0%
UFC: 7 E, 37 W, 26 L, 58.7%
WEC: 1 event, 6 W, 3 L, 66.7%
MMA: 10 E, 58 W, 34 L, 63.0%
TNA: 4 E, 20 W, 15 L, 57.1%
WWE: 7 E, 26 W, 22 L, 54.2%
Wrestling: 11 E, 46 W, 37 L, 55.4%
Overall: 21 E, 104 W, 71 L, 59.4%
Contests Won/Tied: UFC 71, Dynamite USA, One Night Stand and WEC 28 on Versus.
Art has caught fire as of late, he was the last person to win an event...and has strung together 4 in a row. WWE was his bad point before ONS as he was less than 50% until a strong showing at that event brought his percentage to where it is now. You'd have to ask Art what he makes of his own stats, I can't speak for him.
Ric Gillespie: 6 contest wins in 17 events
EXC: 1 event, 5 W, 5 L, 50.0%
Pride: 1 event, 4 W, 4 L,, 1 NC 44.4%
UFC: 6 E, 31 W, 17 L, 65.3%
WEC: 0 E, 0 W, 0 L, 0%
MMA: 8 E, 41 W, 26 L,, 1 NC 60.3%
TNA: 2 E, 9 W, 8 L, 52.9%
WWE: 7 E, 30 W, 19 L, 61.2%
Wrestling: 9 E, 39 W, 27 L, 59.1%
Overall: 17 E, 80 W, 53 L,, 1 NC 59.7%
Contests Won/Tied: Fight Night 8, No Way Out, Pride 33, Fight Night 9, Backlash, UFC 71.
Ric has done well in most of the events he's predicted but because he's Ric who cares?
Euan Taylor: 7 contest wins in 23 events
EXC: 2 E, 15 W, 5 L, 75.0%
Pride: 2 E, 9 W, 7 L, 1, NC 52.9%
UFC: 7 E, 33 W, 30 L, 52.4%
WEC: 1 event, 6 W, 3 L, 66.7%
MMA: 12 E, 63 W, 45 L,, 1 NC 57.8%
TNA: 5 E, 26 W, 18 L, 59.1%
WWE: 6 E, 21 W, 20 L, 51.2%
Wrestling: 11 E, 47 W, 38 L, 55.3%
Overall: 23 E, 110 W, 83 L,, 1 NC 56.7%
Contests Won/Tied: EXC Destany, Destination X, Wrestlemania 23, Pride 34, UFC 70, Sacrifice.
Euan's weak point is WWE, of course starting off 0-6 at New Year's Revolution will tend to make life hard. However, of those who have predicted Pride Events this year Euan is the only one above .500. He does well in EXC (again though 2 events is not really a representative sample when compared to the overall) and Euan's strongest category is TNA, also again Ironic. Maybe the less a person watches, the better.
Scott Liedle: 2 contest wins in 22 events
EXC: 2 E, 12 W, 8 L, 60.0%
Pride: 2 E, 5 W, 11 L,, 1 NC 29.4%
UFC: 7 E, 33 W, 30 L, 52.4%
WEC: 0 E, 0 W, 0 L, 0%
MMA: 11 E, 50 W, 49 L,, 1 NC 50.0%
TNA: 5 E, 21 W, 23 L, 47.7%
WWE: 6 E, 29 W, 14 L, 67.4%
Wrestling: 11 E, 50 W, 38 L, 57.5%
Overall: 22 E, 100 W, 86 L,, 1 NC 53.5%
Contests Won/Tied: No Way Out, Wrestlemania 23.
Scott would seem to disprove the theory mentioned under Euan's name. He watches more WWE than anyone else and has by far the best percentage in that category as compared to the rest. Looking at his MMA percentage, considering the amount of upsets this year, and how little exposure he's had to the sport even being slightly above .500 is an accomplishment worth noting.
Wade Wallenstein: 8 Contest wins in 17 events
EXC: 1 event, 4 W, 6 L, 40.0%
Pride: 1 event, 2 W, 6 L,, 1 NC 22.2%
UFC: 4 E, 23 W, 12 L, 65.7%
WEC: 0 E, 0 W, 0 L, 0%
MMA: 6 E, 29 W, 24 L,, 1 NC 53.7%
TNA: 5 E, 29 W, 15 L, 65.9%
WWE: 6 E, 29 W, 14 L, 67.4%
Wrestling: 11 E, 58 W, 29 L, 66.7%
Overall: 17 E, 87 W, 54 L,, 1 NC 61.7%
Contests Won/Tied: Royal Rumble, UFC 67, Against All Odds, Destination X, Lockdown, Sacrifice, Judgment Day, One Night Stand.
Wade is the person to hate. He'd be dominating this if he picked in mor events, but his percentages are consistently high across each category. His assassination is being planned as I type this. In fact, somewhere hidden in this report is the triggar word that will get the job done.
Marcus Erickson: 4 contest wins in 9 events
EXC: 1 event, 7 W, 3 L, 70.0%
Pride: 0 E, 0 W, 0 L, 0%
UFC: 3 E, 17 W, 9 L, 65.4%
WEC: 0 E, 0 W, 0 L, 0%
MMA: 4 E, 24 W, 12 L, 66.7%
TNA: 3 E, 16 W, 10 L, 61.5%
WWE: 2 E, 7 W, 6 L, 53.8%
Wrestling: 5 E, 23 W, 16 L, 59.0%
Overall: 9 E, 47 W, 28 L, 62.7%
Contests Won/Tied: Final Resolution, No Way Out, UFC 68, Destination X.
Hard to really talk about this one. He's done well in the 9 events he's picked but as the count piles up, 9 becomes closer and closer to not being a representative sample, consider that at the end of june the event count will reach 30 and at 36 it will be only 25% of the total. Ironically, he's done the worst in WWE, the thing he knows best. There seems to be a lot of that going around. My best theory is that the more a person knows a product the more they tend to over-think it, especially in wrestling. It is much easier to over-think WWE or TNA because of a thought that you're familiar with the bookers and their tendancies and thus the maxum that anything can happen is not true in reality. In MMA you can over-think a fight for sure, I've been there, but for most predicting anything other than the main event is a matter of just picking a winner between 2 names at which point your odds are 50-50.
Upcoming Events:
We get a break this weekend, thank God. The next week however, has 3 events which will change things up. UFC presents Fight Night 10 on 6/12, and UFC 72 'Victory' on 6/16. TNA closes out the week with Slammiversary on 6/17. Then the month closes out with Strieforce/EXC on June 22, The Ultimate Fighter Finale on June 23 and Vengeance on June 24.
Anyway, behind the cut is the updated CARE Stats for the predictions. This goes all the way through WEC and One Night Stand on Sunday. Included will be my own comments.
Casey Trowbridge: 9 contest wins in 24 events
EXC: 2 E, 13 W, 7 L, 65%
Pride: 2 E, 6 W, 10 L,, 1 NC 37.5%
UFC: 7 E, 37 W, 26 L, 58.7%
WEC: 1 Event, 6 W, 3 L, 66.7%
MMA: 12 E, 62 W, 46 L,, 1 NC 56.9%
TNA: 5 E, 25 W, 19 L, 56.8%
WWE: 7 E, 31 W, 19 L, 62.0%
Wrestling: 12 E, 56 W, 38 L, 59.6%
Overall: 24 E, 118 W, 84 L,, 1 NC 58.1%
Contests Won/Tied: New Year’s Revolution, No Way Out, Pride 33, Destination X, UFC 69, Sacrifice, UFC 71, One Night Stand and WEC 28 on Versus.
If you take out Pride which was a disaster for me and if you also discount the WEC and eXC standings due to the number of shows (2 isn't a rpresentative sample) and look at the 3 major one's left...it is kind of ironic that I do the best in WWE considering I watch it the least.
Art Shimko: 4 contest wins in 21 events
EXC: 2 E, 15 W, 5 L, 75.0%
Pride: 0 E, 0 W, 0 L, 0%
UFC: 7 E, 37 W, 26 L, 58.7%
WEC: 1 event, 6 W, 3 L, 66.7%
MMA: 10 E, 58 W, 34 L, 63.0%
TNA: 4 E, 20 W, 15 L, 57.1%
WWE: 7 E, 26 W, 22 L, 54.2%
Wrestling: 11 E, 46 W, 37 L, 55.4%
Overall: 21 E, 104 W, 71 L, 59.4%
Contests Won/Tied: UFC 71, Dynamite USA, One Night Stand and WEC 28 on Versus.
Art has caught fire as of late, he was the last person to win an event...and has strung together 4 in a row. WWE was his bad point before ONS as he was less than 50% until a strong showing at that event brought his percentage to where it is now. You'd have to ask Art what he makes of his own stats, I can't speak for him.
Ric Gillespie: 6 contest wins in 17 events
EXC: 1 event, 5 W, 5 L, 50.0%
Pride: 1 event, 4 W, 4 L,, 1 NC 44.4%
UFC: 6 E, 31 W, 17 L, 65.3%
WEC: 0 E, 0 W, 0 L, 0%
MMA: 8 E, 41 W, 26 L,, 1 NC 60.3%
TNA: 2 E, 9 W, 8 L, 52.9%
WWE: 7 E, 30 W, 19 L, 61.2%
Wrestling: 9 E, 39 W, 27 L, 59.1%
Overall: 17 E, 80 W, 53 L,, 1 NC 59.7%
Contests Won/Tied: Fight Night 8, No Way Out, Pride 33, Fight Night 9, Backlash, UFC 71.
Ric has done well in most of the events he's predicted but because he's Ric who cares?
Euan Taylor: 7 contest wins in 23 events
EXC: 2 E, 15 W, 5 L, 75.0%
Pride: 2 E, 9 W, 7 L, 1, NC 52.9%
UFC: 7 E, 33 W, 30 L, 52.4%
WEC: 1 event, 6 W, 3 L, 66.7%
MMA: 12 E, 63 W, 45 L,, 1 NC 57.8%
TNA: 5 E, 26 W, 18 L, 59.1%
WWE: 6 E, 21 W, 20 L, 51.2%
Wrestling: 11 E, 47 W, 38 L, 55.3%
Overall: 23 E, 110 W, 83 L,, 1 NC 56.7%
Contests Won/Tied: EXC Destany, Destination X, Wrestlemania 23, Pride 34, UFC 70, Sacrifice.
Euan's weak point is WWE, of course starting off 0-6 at New Year's Revolution will tend to make life hard. However, of those who have predicted Pride Events this year Euan is the only one above .500. He does well in EXC (again though 2 events is not really a representative sample when compared to the overall) and Euan's strongest category is TNA, also again Ironic. Maybe the less a person watches, the better.
Scott Liedle: 2 contest wins in 22 events
EXC: 2 E, 12 W, 8 L, 60.0%
Pride: 2 E, 5 W, 11 L,, 1 NC 29.4%
UFC: 7 E, 33 W, 30 L, 52.4%
WEC: 0 E, 0 W, 0 L, 0%
MMA: 11 E, 50 W, 49 L,, 1 NC 50.0%
TNA: 5 E, 21 W, 23 L, 47.7%
WWE: 6 E, 29 W, 14 L, 67.4%
Wrestling: 11 E, 50 W, 38 L, 57.5%
Overall: 22 E, 100 W, 86 L,, 1 NC 53.5%
Contests Won/Tied: No Way Out, Wrestlemania 23.
Scott would seem to disprove the theory mentioned under Euan's name. He watches more WWE than anyone else and has by far the best percentage in that category as compared to the rest. Looking at his MMA percentage, considering the amount of upsets this year, and how little exposure he's had to the sport even being slightly above .500 is an accomplishment worth noting.
Wade Wallenstein: 8 Contest wins in 17 events
EXC: 1 event, 4 W, 6 L, 40.0%
Pride: 1 event, 2 W, 6 L,, 1 NC 22.2%
UFC: 4 E, 23 W, 12 L, 65.7%
WEC: 0 E, 0 W, 0 L, 0%
MMA: 6 E, 29 W, 24 L,, 1 NC 53.7%
TNA: 5 E, 29 W, 15 L, 65.9%
WWE: 6 E, 29 W, 14 L, 67.4%
Wrestling: 11 E, 58 W, 29 L, 66.7%
Overall: 17 E, 87 W, 54 L,, 1 NC 61.7%
Contests Won/Tied: Royal Rumble, UFC 67, Against All Odds, Destination X, Lockdown, Sacrifice, Judgment Day, One Night Stand.
Wade is the person to hate. He'd be dominating this if he picked in mor events, but his percentages are consistently high across each category. His assassination is being planned as I type this. In fact, somewhere hidden in this report is the triggar word that will get the job done.
Marcus Erickson: 4 contest wins in 9 events
EXC: 1 event, 7 W, 3 L, 70.0%
Pride: 0 E, 0 W, 0 L, 0%
UFC: 3 E, 17 W, 9 L, 65.4%
WEC: 0 E, 0 W, 0 L, 0%
MMA: 4 E, 24 W, 12 L, 66.7%
TNA: 3 E, 16 W, 10 L, 61.5%
WWE: 2 E, 7 W, 6 L, 53.8%
Wrestling: 5 E, 23 W, 16 L, 59.0%
Overall: 9 E, 47 W, 28 L, 62.7%
Contests Won/Tied: Final Resolution, No Way Out, UFC 68, Destination X.
Hard to really talk about this one. He's done well in the 9 events he's picked but as the count piles up, 9 becomes closer and closer to not being a representative sample, consider that at the end of june the event count will reach 30 and at 36 it will be only 25% of the total. Ironically, he's done the worst in WWE, the thing he knows best. There seems to be a lot of that going around. My best theory is that the more a person knows a product the more they tend to over-think it, especially in wrestling. It is much easier to over-think WWE or TNA because of a thought that you're familiar with the bookers and their tendancies and thus the maxum that anything can happen is not true in reality. In MMA you can over-think a fight for sure, I've been there, but for most predicting anything other than the main event is a matter of just picking a winner between 2 names at which point your odds are 50-50.
Upcoming Events:
We get a break this weekend, thank God. The next week however, has 3 events which will change things up. UFC presents Fight Night 10 on 6/12, and UFC 72 'Victory' on 6/16. TNA closes out the week with Slammiversary on 6/17. Then the month closes out with Strieforce/EXC on June 22, The Ultimate Fighter Finale on June 23 and Vengeance on June 24.
Labels: Predictions, Roundtable Previews
posted by Casey Trowbridge at 6/07/2007 01:19:00 AM
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